University of Oulu

Zhanar Naurozbayeva, Aziza Baubekova, Anastasia Kvasha, Vladimir Lobanov, Bjorn Kløve & Ali Torabi Haghighi (2023) Determining factors for changes in the ice regime of the Caspian Sea, International Journal of Water Resources Development, DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2023.2231099

Determining factors for changes in the ice regime of the Caspian Sea

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Author: Naurozbayeva, Zhanar1,2; Baubekova, Aziza3; Kvasha, Anastasia4;
Organizations: 1Caspian Sea Hydrometeorological Research Department, Republican State-Owned Enterprise ‘Kazhydromet’, Almaty, Kazakhstan
2Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University Almaty, Almaty, Kazakhstan
3Water, Energy and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Technology, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
4Department of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Central European University, Budapest, Hungary
5Department of Meteorology, Russian State Hydrometeorological University, St Petersburg, Russia
Format: article
Version: accepted version
Access: embargoed
Persistent link: http://urn.fi/urn:nbn:fi-fe20231010139447
Language: English
Published: Informa, 2023
Publish Date: 2025-02-01
Description:

Abstract

This article provides an analysis of the factors driving long-term change in the characteristics of the ice regime of the Northern Caspian Sea using satellite and in situ observation. It assesses the climatic shifts, comparing the linear trend and step change models. We link the stepwise shift in temperatures in the 1980s with the changes in the forms of atmospheric circulation. The decrease in the sum of negative temperatures impacts the length and intensity of winters with the 18–27-day reduction in the freeze period, leading to a shorter period of ice cover and reduced ice thickness by 20–28 cm.

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Series: International journal of water resources development
ISSN: 0790-0627
ISSN-E: 1360-0648
ISSN-L: 0790-0627
Issue: Latest articles
DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2023.2231099
OADOI: https://oadoi.org/10.1080/07900627.2023.2231099
Type of Publication: A1 Journal article – refereed
Field of Science: 218 Environmental engineering
Subjects:
Copyright information: © 2023 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Accepted Manuscript version of the following article, accepted for publication in International Journal of Water Resources Development. Zhanar Naurozbayeva, Aziza Baubekova, Anastasia Kvasha, Vladimir Lobanov, Bjorn Kløve & Ali Torabi Haghighi (2023) Determining factors for changes in the ice regime of the Caspian Sea, International Journal of Water Resources Development, DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2023.2231099. It is deposited under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
  https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/